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John Ross: Most countries will not agree with the US dumping

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Post time 2020-4-26 19:07:27 | Show all posts |Read mode

The spread of the new crown epidemic in Europe and the United States has so far exceeded its ability to make strategic decisions in some countries.  Considering the efforts and sacrifices of the Chinese people to fight the epidemic, it is difficult for some people to imagine that the situation in the West will be many times more severe than in the most difficult period of the Chinese epidemic, and this is the fact.

Wuhan has recently revised up 35% of deaths due to new coronavirus infections, so the number of single-day deaths in China during peak epidemics was 254, while in the United States, the single-day deaths have so far peaked at 2,395.  Since China ’s population is more than four times that of the United States, and the population ratio is taken into account, the peak value of single-day deaths in the United States should be 40 times that of China.

The peak of single-day death cases in the UK so far has been 980. The population of China is 21 times that of the UK. Taking the population ratio into account, the peak value of single-day death cases in the UK should be 111 times that of China.

The cumulative number of deaths is also shocking.  At the time of writing, the total number of deaths from New Coronavirus is 4642 in China, 15464 in the United Kingdom, and 32427 in the United States.  In terms of population ratio, there are 323,000 cases in the United Kingdom (15464 × 21) and 138,000 cases in the United States (32427 × 4.3). The number of deaths in the United States is 30 times that of China, and it is still rising.

The traumatic impact of mortality on the political situation will be particularly severe in the United States.  The US military suffered heavy casualties in World War II, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War, but there were only two large-scale deaths of local civilians before: during the Civil War and during the 1918 pandemic.

The response of the United States to this disaster is obvious. The fact that the government has failed to effectively protect its people from the new coronavirus pandemic. If the facts become known, it will cause a major blow to the national ideology and international prestige of the United States.  Public concealment is crucial. The lies at the White House ’s daily press conference are well known. Also distorted are campaign advertising campaigns launched by Democratic candidates. The focus of these advertising campaigns is not to accuse Trump of not letting the United States do a good job.  To prepare for the epidemic, he accused him of "surrendering" to China.

In some countries, public opinion has shifted significantly. For example, in a recent opinion poll on Italian people, when asked which country to strengthen ties with in the future, 36% of Italians chose China, while 30%  Of people chose the United States.

In some countries, a fierce struggle is ongoing, and the results have not yet been determined.  For example, the British government resisted US pressure earlier this year and allowed Huawei to participate in the construction of 5G networks.  But just as some people in the United States tried to shift their responsibilities from the catastrophic failure to respond to the epidemic, British Foreign Secretary Rab recently accused China of the epidemic, claiming that Sino-British relations cannot be "business as usual", while the British  "Meipai" is also launching new efforts to overturn the previous decision against Huawei.

On the other hand, other British political forces are also seeking help from China. Between April 2 and 15, a total of 12 million sets of medical protective equipment were shipped from China to the UK.  Main representatives of the British health industry, such as the well-known medical journal "The Lancet", have always bluntly supported China's work in responding to the new crown epidemic.

The author believes that it is impossible to judge the final impact on the Sino-British relationship before the epidemic crisis finally comes to light.  The British government is focusing on responding to the epidemic and is unlikely to seriously consider diplomatic strategies and policies.  There are strong pro-American forces trying to make Britain more strictly follow US policies, such as overthrowing Huawei ’s 5G decision-this will damage the UK ’s economic interests; and for example, premature lifting of restrictions will cause a public health disaster.  Some forces in the United States have tried to launch an anti-China movement. Most other countries will refuse to participate. Whether the United Kingdom will fully agree will depend on the epidemic and the rational economic calculation of the British people.  (The author is a former director of the London Economic and Commercial Policy Agency, a researcher at the Chongyang Institute of Finance, Renmin University of China)
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